WHO WILL WIN THE 2020 ELECTION?
My reasoning is below, and I will simply go all in with my original GregsList prediction: Donald Trump will be reelected.
And by all in, I mean ALL IN. The election is over, according to Democrats and the media, but I will stick with my Trump pick. And I have no problem being wrong.
I reason my prediction as follows:
1. If not for the pending litigation by Sidney Powell and Lin Wood, I would encourage President Trump to concede after December 14th certification day, and work towards transition. You don’t overturn elections by onesey-twosey lawsuits, but both Parties have until December 14th to dispute anything they want.
2. The Supreme Court will not entertain any frivolous case. However, should Ms. Powell and Mr. Wood present a case which, for example, identifies millions of disenfranchised votes for the president, it would be the Court’s duty to citizens to consider the case. The numbers I am hearing are 3-million and up. The election would likely be awarded to Trump — and yes, all hell would break loose!
3. At this moment, I would wage odds around 85-90% Biden, and 10-15% tops for the president — a long shot by all measures. (I’ve already got a bit of Trump long shot money with a few of my Biden friends).
4. But this is how movies end. This is how heroes become heroes. They are the complete underdog — if not in deep doo doo — and overcome to win in the end. IF the president is reelected against all odds, it falls into the miracle category required for great stories. And I always believe in the underdog.
5. As a side note, I pray this election mess never happens again. I hope both sides agree to fix the system before 2024. I will be writing a piece soon about privatizing elections, a la Federal Express partnership, but that’s for another day.
LET THE VOTE COUNTING CONTINUE UNTIL DECEMBER 14TH, as per election law.
I so appreciate an old car buddy, who took me up on a little wager on this. I love people having skin-in-the-game, rather than just big talk!